Monday, January 4, 2010

Normal Distribution Vs. Lognormal distributions

The lognormal distribution is skewed to the right, whereas the normal distribution is symmetrical. The lognormal distribution can only have positive values: whereas the normal distribution includes both postive and negative values. This property makes the lognormal distribution useful for modeling asset prices.

对数正态分布常常被用来描述股票价格的运动,而正态分布则被用来描述股票收益率和资产的价格。因为如果用正态分布来描述股票价格的变动,则我们有时会得到收益率<-100%的结果,这样股票价格有可能成为负值。而使用对数正态分布的价格模型描述股票价格的变动可以避免这样的问题,股票的价格永远非负值。对数分布也比较适合描述资产的价格,因为资产价格理论上不会<0。而正态分布有正负值之分,比较适合用来描述投资的收益率。

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